Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.308969 0.353725 0.401665 0.456714 0.518059 0.584191 0.660750
2025-12-21 0.236305 0.296934 0.366965 0.453325 0.556408 0.674939 0.820933
2025-12-28 0.194825 0.266888 0.356069 0.473271 0.621814 0.802278 1.036390
2026-01-04 0.162360 0.241405 0.345746 0.491102 0.685512 0.933419 1.269785
2026-01-11 0.132736 0.213774 0.327603 0.495138 0.730647 1.044487 1.487780
2026-01-18 0.109063 0.189753 0.310012 0.496357 0.770574 1.150858 1.707639
2026-01-25 0.089872 0.168576 0.292750 0.494736 0.804873 1.250952 1.925610
2026-02-01 0.074869 0.151043 0.277953 0.494029 0.839108 1.352262 2.151457
2026-02-08 0.062835 0.136090 0.264704 0.493356 0.872173 1.453074 2.382321
2026-02-15 0.052377 0.121786 0.250127 0.488090 0.896464 1.541208 2.598850
2026-02-22 0.045787 0.113571 0.244884 0.497599 0.944865 1.669065 2.882980
2026-03-01 0.038675 0.102725 0.232997 0.493532 0.969353 1.759665 3.113362
2026-03-08 0.033446 0.094949 0.226033 0.497913 1.009274 1.878925 3.398473
2026-03-15 0.027939 0.085232 0.213598 0.490248 1.026754 1.961672 3.628891
2026-03-22 0.025381 0.082145 0.214594 0.508948 1.093820 2.132737 4.015147
2026-03-29 0.023011 0.078990 0.214930 0.526217 1.159385 2.304913 4.412187
2026-04-05 0.020038 0.073435 0.208924 0.529420 1.197949 2.431380 4.737164
2026-04-12 0.017343 0.067945 0.202147 0.530030 1.231158 2.549761 5.053641
2026-04-19 0.014901 0.062518 0.194591 0.527888 1.258355 2.658287 5.357624
2026-04-26 0.012862 0.057770 0.187928 0.526871 1.287487 2.771661 5.675306
2026-05-03 0.011118 0.053468 0.181684 0.525990 1.316576 2.886200 6.000075
2026-05-10 0.009458 0.048903 0.173884 0.520322 1.334693 2.980254 6.291034
2026-05-17 0.008504 0.046725 0.172489 0.530294 1.387597 3.144746 6.720286